BETTING ON (UN)CERTAIN FUTURES: SOCIOTECHNICAL IMAGINARIES OF AI AND VARIETIES OF TECHNO-DEVELOPMENTALISM IN ASIA

Abstract

The proliferation of generative artificial intelligence (AI) has prompted the development of comprehensive AI developmental and governance frameworks globally. Yet, existing literature on AI innovation in non-Western societies often overlooks economically advanced but geographically non-dominant societies, instead focusing on large nation-states like China or developing regions in Global South such as South Africa. This paper examines the variegated sociotechnical imaginaries of AI in three Asian developmental societies - Singapore, Hong Kong and Taiwan - addressing two research questions: what are the desired forms of AI development and governance in small-size advanced economies? How does this desired form vary according to the historical, institutional, and geopolitical contexts of these societies? Through discourse analysis of policy documents from the early 2010s to 2024, the paper identifies three imaginaries of techno-developmentalism: Singapore’s cybernetic pragmaticism to legitimize its neoliberal authoritarian rule, Hong Kong’s techno-entrepreneurship in refashioning financial capitalism, and Taiwan’s defensive survival modality against internal socio-economic instability and external threats posed by the rivalry of superpowers. Decision-makers in these societies must establish AI developmental frameworks capable of resource allocation, actor coordination, strategic coupling with the global tech economy, and managing uncertainties in specific AI-centric socio-economic reform. By offering comparative case studies of these Asian societies, this paper contributes to understanding the heterogeneous narratives and practices of AI innovation, moving beyond simplistic narratives trapped in the Global North and South binary.